The attached validity study of NIE 64-56, "The Political Outlook in Malaya Through 1960," published 24 January 1956, was noted by the IAC on 14 January 1958 (IAC-M-324). IAC-D-100/56 15 January 1958 Validity Study of NIE 64-56: The Political Outlook in Malaya Through 1960, published 24 January 1956 1. NIE 64-56 estimated that the UK would "probably grant some form of independence within the Commonwealth by 1960." In fact, independence was granted 31 August 1957. The pace of events leading toward independence was more rapid than the British had anticipated. As a result of the growth of Malay nationalism, the smooth working relationship established among the Alliance leaders, and the rise of moderate, responsible Malaya leadership, the British took a policy decision to grant Federation independence as quickly as possible. 2. However, the estimate pointed out, correctly in our view, that Malay-Chinese tensions were merely "relatively quiescent...
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