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  SECRET Problem To assess the will and ability of Thailand, Burma, and Malaya to resist Communist political and military pressures in the eventnnof an early Communist victory in Indochina. SCOPE This paper will examine political, psychological, and military conditions in Thailand, Burma, and Malays in order to determine (a) to what extent these countries would be willing and able to resist political and indirect military pressures that would result from the establishment of Communist control in Indochina; (b) their capabilities for repelling actual military attack; (c) the possibilities for concerted action among them; and (d) the effect on these countries of large-scale employment of Chinese Communist armed forces in Southeast Asia, (Refer to Terms of Reference for NIE 20 issued by the Central Intelligence Agency 17 January 1951; only sections allocated to State/OIR are treated below.) QUESTIONS BEARING ON THE PROBLEM I. WHAT WOULD BE THE EFFECT IN THAILAND OF A COMMUNIST VICTORY...

  MEMORANDUM FOR: XXXXXXX SUBJECT: Geographic Intelligence Memorandum on "Malaysia" -- CIA/RR GM 62-2 REFERENCE: xxxxxxx dated 25 April 1962, same subject 1. Your comments on subject report, which was produced on short notice at ONE's request, have been noted. The following paragraphs refer to the several points of content questioned. 2. UK rights in Singapore . We agree that the GM 62-2 statement, "... the United Kingdom... will retain the right to use the Singapore military base." should be regarded as subject to Federation leaders' permissiveness and local popular attitudes. These limitations, however, apply to the British situation presently -- the British could not, for instance, use Singapore against the Indonesians in New Guinea. Similarly, we felt that the residual sovereignty possessed by the host country is a limitation on freedom of action that is generally appreciated. The report announced by Prime Minister Rahman xxxxxxx 3. Malaysia Solidarity C...